Where is Albemarle Growing as of 2nd Quarter 2007?

Albemarle County has released the 2007 Second Quarter Building Report (and revised the 1st Quarter).  Thus I have updated my previous analysis of where new building permits are being issued in the County.  These do NOT reflect all newly approved developments, but rather homes in developments previously approved where a building permit has now been issued.  ALSO, while the County's report includes ALL types of housing, my analysis is limited to single family detached (SFD) homes, as those are a leading indicator of future enrollment growth for Albemarle County Public Schools.

Looking back over the last twelve month period (July 2006-June 2007), SFD building permits were issued as follows in Albemarle's six magisterial districts:

116 (35.6%) in White Hall
73 (22.4%) in Rivanna
72 (22.1%) in Scottsville
49 (15.0%) in Samuel Miller
10 (3.1%) in Rio
6 (1.8%) in Jack Jouett

From my website you can download a historical view of this data by magisterial district (chart above). http://www.wheeleronboard.com/docs/2007Q2-BuildingReport-chart.pdf

For the SFD permits detailed above (last 12 months), 61.4% were in rural areas and 20.25% were in the Crozet designated growth area (i.e. not all the White Hall housing shown above is in Crozet). HOWEVER (and I don't usually report this), for ALL building permits in the County thus far in 2007 (594), only 95 are in the rural areas, or 16%.  This calendar year has a very different trend in growth area vs. rural area development.

Brian Wheeler